Ant-Man and The Wasp: Quantumania just finished its third weekend in theaters, but many fans are electing to wait to watch the movie at home on streaming. While we don't have an exact release date for Ant-Man 3 on Disney+ yet, we do have enough information based on past MCU Disney+ releases to make an educated prediction on when the Ant-Man sequel will end up on Disney+.
When Will Ant-Man and The Wasp: Quantumania Release On Disney+?
A possible new standard was set when Black Panther: Wakanda Forever began streaming on Disney+ 82 days after its theatrical release. That gap between November 11 and February 1 was the largest since MCU films have been released while Disney+ exists.
Black Widow's controversial day-and-date release in July 2021 set a strange standard for the studio. Uncertainty loomed over the other 2021 MCU films like Shang-Chi and the Legend of the Ten Rings and Eternals, but both ultimately received an exclusive theatrical release.
Ironically, Doctor Strange in the Multiverse of Madness was the highest-grossing Marvel film of 2022 but also had the shortest window between theater exclusivity and streaming on Disney+ (47 days).
The full list of MCU theatrical-to-streaming windows can be seen below:
- Black Widow - 0 days (Disney+ Premier Access)
- Shang-Chi and the Legend of the Ten Rings - 70 days
- Eternals - 68 days
- Doctor Strange in the Multiverse of Madness - 47 days
- Thor: Love and Thunder - 62 days
- Black Panther: Wakanda Forever - 82 days
Where will Ant-Man and the Wasp: Quantumania fit within this roughly established 47-82 day range?
Ant-Man 3's Earliest Likely Release Date on Disney+
Between Marvel, Star Wars, and everything else Disney+ continues to produce, it's become continually clear that the company has yet to fully flesh out a streaming plan.
Marvel and Star Wars series have often crossed over, and the release dates of episodes (and how many episodes release at a time) have all varied since 2020.
One moderate element of consistency is Wednesday is the day of the week with the highest usage rate. Wakanda Forever and Multiverse of Madness were both released on Wednesdays.
However, based on Ant-Man and the Wasp: Quantumania's historically bad box office performance since its release, it is possible that Disney will release it on Disney+ sooner rather than later.
The earliest release date we predict for Ant-Man 3 is April 5th. It's a Wednesday 47 days after release and could steal some thunder from Universal Pictures and its Super Mario Bros. Movie release that weekend.
A More Realistic Ant-Man and the Wasp: Quantumania Disney+ Release Date
Disney allowed Black Panther 2 to get an extended theater-only release, taking 82 days before it ended up releasing on Disney+. It stands to reason Marvel will continue trending in that direction for Ant-Man 3, giving it more time to thrive in theaters before the streaming release.
A more realistic prediction for when Ant-Man 3 will stream would be May 3rd. It would be available for fans to watch and catch up with the MCU before the next big MCU blockbuster movie, Guardians of the Galaxy 3.
This would equate to 75 days after it begins its worldwide theatrical run and would give the film plenty of time to soak up box office earnings despite plenty of competition during Spring 2023.
Ant-Man and The Wasp: Quantumania flies into theaters on Friday, February 17.
